Research & Development (NIH/NSF/DOE) Spending → GDP per capita
Aggregate n-of-1 pair study with adaptive bins, optimal value estimates, and subject-level diagnostics.
Grade ADirection neutral1 quality warning
Evidence Grade
A
Subjects
116
Aligned Pairs
2784
Predictive Pearson
0.000
Optimal Value
Central
171.36 model spending units
Lower / Upper
62.71 - 554.86
Support
116 subjects
Jurisdiction Optimal Predictor Value Distribution
adaptive_numeric_bins • target bins 10 • min size 11
| Bin | Obs | Subjects | Outcome % Change from Baseline | Forward Pearson | Predictive Pearson |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 - 14.0 | 336 | 14 | 63.95 | 0.687 | 0.000 |
| 14.0 - 72.0 | 504 | 21 | 85.90 | 0.849 | 0.000 |
| 72.0 - 111.0 | 264 | 11 | 55.70 | 0.883 | 0.000 |
| 111.0 - 171.0 | 264 | 11 | 90.60 | 0.970 | 0.000 |
| 171.0 - 277.0 | 312 | 13 | 97.60 | 0.970 | 0.000 |
| 277.0 - 410.0 | 264 | 11 | 106.40 | 0.977 | 0.000 |
| 410.0 - 924.0 | 288 | 12 | 59.90 | 0.978 | 0.000 |
| 924.0 - 1322.0 | 264 | 11 | 50.20 | 0.969 | 0.000 |
| 1322.0 - 1818.0 | 288 | 12 | 56.70 | 0.978 | 0.000 |
Subject Drilldowns
View AllData Flow
Source country results
116 input • 116 output • 0 dropped
Aggregate pair metrics
2784 input • 2784 output • 0 dropped
Adaptive bin construction
116 input • 116 output • 0 dropped
Data Freshness & Provenance
Explorer payload generated 3/12/2026, 10:59:57 PM.
- US Government Size Analysispackages/examples/output/us-government-size-analysis.jsonGenerated 3/12/2026, 10:59:57 PM
- US Optimal Budget Analysispackages/web/src/data/optimal-budget.jsonGenerated 2/7/2026, 5:03:26 AM
Precompute Cache Index
Key: 9281976a
6 outcomes • 5 predictors • 8 pairs • 936 subjects