The US Federal Budget, Diagnosed

Your government's $6.71T shopping list, reviewed by someone who's actually done the maths. 18 categories. Most of them wrong.

$2.02T
Total Current
$694B
Total Optimal
$-1.33T
Net Reallocation
18
Categories Analyzed

Related Analysis

Top 5 Recommendations

1

Military: United States spends $2052/cap (rank 27/28). Switzerland spends $389/cap with Life Expectancy 83.37. Overspend: 5.3x. Potential savings: $564B/yr

2

Veterans Affairs: United States spends $10333/cap (rank 28/28). South Korea spends $3588/cap with Life Expectancy 83.57. Overspend: 2.9x. Potential savings: $2.3T/yr

3

Education: United States spends $2996/cap (rank 11/11). Japan spends $1288/cap with PISA Math Score 536. Overspend: 2.3x. Potential savings: $579B/yr

4

Justice / Law Enforcement: United States spends $12848/cap (rank 25/26). South Korea spends $6037/cap with Life Expectancy 83.57. Overspend: 2.1x. Potential savings: $2.3T/yr

5

Energy: United States spends $1991/cap (rank 25/28). Netherlands spends $1064/cap with After-Tax Median Income (PPP) 31221.39. Overspend: 1.9x. Potential savings: $314B/yr

Current vs Optimal Spending

Full Category Breakdown

CategoryCurrentOptimalGap %OverspendAction
Military$886B$167B+81.1%5.3×Major Decrease
Veterans Affairs$325B$112B+65.5%2.9×Decrease
Health (non-Medicare/Medicaid)$94B$32B+65.5%2.9×Decrease
Education$102B$44B+56.5%2.3×Decrease
Homeland Security$62B$12B+81.1%5.3×Major Decrease
Transportation$105B$66B+37.5%1.6×Decrease
HUD / Housing$73B$46B+37.5%1.6×Decrease
Energy$52B$27B+47.4%1.9×Decrease
Foreign Aid / International Affairs$63B$39B+37.5%1.6×Decrease
Justice / Law Enforcement$40B$19B+52.4%2.1×Decrease
Science / NASA$44B$23B+47.4%1.9×Decrease
Labor$42B$26B+37.5%1.6×Decrease
Agriculture$38B$24B+37.5%1.6×Decrease
Treasury / General Government$30B$19B+37.5%1.6×Decrease
Commerce / Economic Development$18B$9B+47.4%1.9×Decrease
State Department / Diplomacy$19B$12B+37.5%1.6×Decrease
Interior / Natural Resources$17B$11B+37.5%1.6×Decrease
EPA / Environment$12B$6B+52.4%2.1×Decrease

Generated 4/6/2026 · Source: Optimitron OBG (Optimal Budget Generator)

The Efficient Frontier

Every country is a data point. The frontier shows what the best-performing countries achieve at each spending level, measured by life expectancy — the metric that actually tells you if people are alive and functional. The US is spending 2.6x what the frontier countries spend — for worse outcomes. On my planet, we call this “paying extra to be worse at things.”

$21,800
US Current Spend/Capita
$8,650
Efficient Frontier/Capita
2.5x
Overspend Ratio

Spending vs Life Expectancy

Health Spending

Spending per Capita (USD PPP)Life Expectancy (yrs)

Education Spending

Spending per Capita (USD PPP)Life Expectancy (yrs)

Spending vs Median Income

Real median after-tax income from household surveys (World Bank PIP, 2017 PPP dollars). Not GDP — because you can increase GDP by building nuclear bombs and blowing up the rainforest.

Health Spending

Spending per Capita (USD PPP)Median Income ($/yr PPP)

Education Spending

Spending per Capita (USD PPP)Median Income ($/yr PPP)

Earth Optimization Prize

The gap between current and optimal won't close itself.

Every misallocated dollar above is a life not saved. The 1% Treaty referendum proves demand for evidence-based budgeting. Deposit into the prize pool, recruit verified voters, earn VOTE Points.

Plan fails
~9.03x back
Plan succeeds
Higher GDP
Downside
None
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Optimitron — The Evidence-Based Earth Optimization Game